Irish Italian
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Irish Italian
Spanish, Portugese and Italian Bonds and the effect on the Euro
The PIIGS of Europe (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain) were under the spotlight for much of the last year, but only really had a major impact on the Euro towards the end of the year when the true nature of their position was exposed with the Irish bailout. Worryingly Ireland sung a very similar tune just before their bailout to the one Portugal and Spain are now whistling from their tightly pursed lips.
The outright denial of any need of a bailout from the Spanish and Portuguese Prime Ministers are ones that unfortunately we cannot take at face value. If either minister succumbed to admitting that they are in need of help it would cause political turmoil for both the individuals and their parties'. So, just how important are the bond sales in terms of saving these economies from IMF purse strings?
The first and arguably most awaited bond auction was in Portugal on Wednesday. The Portuguese were looking to auction 1.25 billion Euros in four and ten year bonds. Certainly enough media coverage was made of the bonds being over subscribed - by a reported 3.2 times over and that the yield was not as high as expected for Portugal, at 6.7% under the 7% figure. This however is the first baby step for Portugal, equivalent to trying to stabilise an expensive Ming Vase teetering on the edge of a cabinet with a second hand peice of double-sided sticky tape. Another figure that has been murmoured amongst the industry is that Portugal in reality need to raise 20billion Euros total in 2011, a startling figure indeed. Be under no illusions, Portugal is still under serious threat from the International Monetary Fund and that if (and not quite when) they step in both Socrates (the Portuguese PM) and the Euro are likely to feel the strain.
Whilst both Italian and Spanish bond auctions followed the next day more focus was on the Spanish, the economy with the greater looming shadow. The situation in Spain has been put particularly under focus as their economy is so large (the 4th largest in the Eurozone - behind Germany, France and Italy) that it could cause such strain on the currency as to topple it. Whilst I wouldn't expect this anytime soon it is certainly something to be mindful of, and perhaps why Germany have now begun to back funds to help maintain the Euro. This was something of a concern when Germany and their chancellor Andrew Merkel were particularly dismissive of the idea of a common Euro bond. Spain's bond auction (selling 5 year bonds), was also over subscribed by over two times. A further bond auction was cancelled today (selling 10 and 15 year bonds) this Thursday in favour of a syndicated sale through the Banks. This should mean lower borrowing costs to the Spanish and thus the economy is likely to be stronger in the long term, particularly important considering Spain's bulging budget deficit.
The Italians also successfully sold 4 and 14 year bonds last Thursday, of which a majority is rumoured to have been purchased by the ECB, who are reported to have now purchased over 20 billion Euro's worth of debt. This is obviously part of the plan to support the Eurozone and something that could be vital to steady the ship of the single currency.
With so much doubt over so many of the economies within the Eurozone the prospects for the single currency are not entirely encouraging, however it seems like initial steps are beginning to be taken to counter the Euro's murky future. If you are looking at buying euros or selling euros make sure you contact a Currency Broker who can discuss the full implications of your trade, transferring at the high compared to the low last week on a $200,000 USD transfer to Euros would have saved you over 6,500 Euros!
About the Author
I am an Executive Dealer working for Award Winning Currency Brokerage Foreign Currency Direct. To transfer money via FCD contact: James Matthews Tel UK: 0800 328 5884 Tel abroad Tel: +44 1494 725 353 or create an account via the FCD website by clicking here, email me at jfm@currencies.co.uk, or follow me on twitter - @FindCurrency.
Why there are so many italian-irish marriages?
I'd want to know why in the US there are so many italian-irish couples. i know this is a very usually trend, coming from last centuries.
maybe because they are both catholic people? is it the only reason?
thanks to all
Are there? I've noticed a lot of Irish/German combos.
Brian Regan on Italians and Irish